IHME: Florida may have passed Coronavirus peak; June 14 re-opening safe with conditions

Projected Coronavirus deaths in Florida. The shaded area shows the range of uncertainty in the projection (how high or low the death rate per day could go), the dotted line is the projected deaths and the solid line shows actual fatalities.    (Chart: IHME)

Projected Coronavirus deaths in Florida. The shaded area shows the range of uncertainty in the projection (how high or low the death rate per day could go), the dotted line is the projected deaths and the solid line shows actual fatalities.    (Chart: IHME)

April 23, 2020 by David Silverberg.

Florida appears to have hit its peak of Coronavirus deaths on April 12 and may safely re-open in mid-June, according to the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), a respected independent population health research center at the University of Washington.

According to an analysis released yesterday, April 22, “After June 14, 2020, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies that include testing, contact tracing, isolation, and limiting gathering size.”

According to the Florida Department of Health, as of today Lee County has 821 COVID-19 cases and has suffered 30 deaths. Collier County has 487 cases and suffered 11 deaths. Charlotte County had 154 cases and 11 deaths.

At the moment the state is prohibiting mass gatherings, is requiring residents to stay at home, and non-essential businesses and educational facilities remain closed.

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